Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 128.070948 141.319494 154.926760 169.919172 185.945992 202.537621 220.984272
2024-11-03 111.045698 131.240756 152.990276 178.033982 205.951490 235.995506 270.649491
2024-11-10 96.112072 121.209963 149.457090 183.298559 222.429454 265.950855 317.702073
2024-11-17 84.419604 113.156181 146.840941 188.658211 238.581752 295.688078 365.341230
2024-11-24 75.361917 106.946969 145.383806 194.647658 255.131752 326.006247 414.325349
2024-12-01 62.693150 94.678016 135.196670 188.889752 256.725818 338.159628 441.804498
2024-12-08 53.590676 85.878429 128.351273 186.376545 261.587526 353.812072 473.356932
2024-12-15 47.505070 80.395567 125.162567 187.994093 271.264673 375.240192 512.110060
2024-12-22 42.697628 76.120248 123.093555 190.678460 282.067057 398.039477 552.790206
2024-12-29 39.845394 74.357343 124.227509 197.510245 298.285011 427.890626 602.768754
2025-01-05 36.771212 71.885080 124.059503 202.340773 311.766564 454.322132 648.727852
2025-01-12 32.595276 67.187021 120.221277 201.641006 317.499302 470.540251 681.622516
2025-01-19 28.812627 62.796614 116.619768 201.203333 323.731286 487.818707 716.667594
2025-01-26 27.015250 61.596857 117.804352 207.766422 339.896730 518.711811 770.215983
2025-02-02 24.914846 59.616245 117.582296 212.139534 353.000379 545.678666 819.003781
2025-02-09 23.166148 58.062283 117.884572 217.216106 367.135268 574.217598 870.261369
2025-02-16 21.768533 57.004458 118.889045 223.335281 382.859832 605.162830 925.184784
2025-02-23 18.347057 51.509399 111.997355 216.675400 379.461160 609.333288 943.701188
2025-03-02 15.925668 47.686372 107.640900 213.731484 381.339019 620.753014 972.120165
2025-03-09 14.428832 45.626345 106.224684 215.424113 390.156553 642.052102 1014.368481
2025-03-16 13.236635 44.076634 105.599268 218.333983 400.826122 666.098579 1060.689950
2025-03-23 12.708863 44.005330 107.693003 225.841229 418.721671 700.786471 1122.289312
2025-03-30 11.957750 43.292119 108.503042 231.148708 433.252962 730.767921 1177.602238